Assessment and forecasts of endogenous growth of Ukraine's economy (applied research) 

Terms of execution: І quarter 2021 – ІV quarter 2022

State Registration No. 0120U105803

Supervisor – Corresponding Member of NAS of Ukraine M. Skrypnychenko

Customer – National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine

Main scientific and theoretical results

• the modernized model toolkit is proposed for assessing the impact of endogenous and exogenous factors (caused by: globalization of the world economy, military actions on the territory of Ukraine, the COVID-19 pandemic, etc.) on the dynamics and structure of the domestic economy
• on its basis, instrumentally substantiated assessments were made of:
  • the devastating economic consequences of the Russian military aggression and the COVID-19 pandemic
  • the prospects for post-war reconstruction of the national economy
  • as well as the conditions and risks of stable socio-economic development of Ukraine after the war
• developed scenario forecasts of macroeconomic indicators for the period up to 2030 (2035) in the section of the main sectors of the domestic economy
• the policy measures of endogenization of the development of the economy of Ukraine in the post-war period and in the long-term perspective are substantiated

Based on the research results, a collective monograph "Assessment and forecasts of endogenous growth of Ukraine’s economy" was prepared