The eighth
discussion on the presentation of presentation of research results from key
projects of the research and scientific institutes on economic recovery of
Ukraine within the framework of the Scientific Platform at the Ministry of Economy of Ukraine was held on
December 16, 2024.
At the final meeting, the Institute for Economics and Forecasting of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine and the Institute of Demography and Quality of Life Problems of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine presented their research results.
Mariia SKRYPNYCHENKO is speaking
The report of Corresponding Member of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine Maria SKRYPNYCHENKO (Institute for Economics and Forecasting of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine) was devoted to the results of the study on “Scenario forecasting: different amounts of international aid (receipt / non-receipt)” (second stage). Attention was paid to the results of assessing the impact of changes in the volume of external financing on the indicators of the State Budget of Ukraine and indicators for monitoring macroeconomic imbalances in Ukraine with the identification of risks in the process of receiving international aid for the Ukrainian economy. With the help of forecast estimates of GDP, employment and unemployment, exports and imports of goods and services under external financing scenarios, scenario estimates of macroeconomic indicators under different options for international assistance to Ukraine are developed.
Corresponding Member of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine Volodymyr SARIOGLO (Institute of Demography and Quality of Life Problems of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine) presented the results of the study on “Calculations of tariffs under scenarios” and “Calculations of the minimum wage under scenarios”.
Natalia
GORSHKOVA, Director of the Department of Strategic Planning and Macroeconomic
Forecasting, noted the importance of jointly solving Ukraine’s current
socio-economic problems and conducting such events that bring together public
authorities, scientific institutions and the public, and Valeria VOITENKO,
Deputy Director of this department, made a final presentation on the results of
the research “Survey Results”, where she highlighted acute problems for the
Ukrainian economy.
In total, during
2024, six leading scientific institutions were featured on the scientific
platform at the Ministry of Economy of Ukraine, that presented results on 18
research topics. Of these, 10 topics were prepared by the Institute for
Economics and Forecasting of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine.
The results of
the research are of practical importance with calculations of the effect on the
economy, security and defense of the country; quality of life, environmental
protection and food security.
The cooperation of scientists, representatives of key ministries and agencies, NGOs, and businesses within the framework of the meetings of the Scientific Platform at the Ministry of Economy of Ukraine builds a real innovation ecosystem in Ukraine, which contributes to the implementation of scientific developments to substantiate management decisions and overcome current challenges.
International scientific and practical conference “THE SCIENTIFIC HERITAGE OF MYKHAILO TUHAN-BARANOVSKY AS A CONCEPTUAL FOUNDATION FOR SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT”, dedicated to the 160th anniversary of the birth of the outstanding Ukrainian scholar, co-founder of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, and the first Minister of Finance of the Government of Ukraine M.I. Tuhan-Baranovsky,will take place on January 29, 2025 at the base of the State Organization «Institute of Economics and Forecasting of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine» (in the format of a Zoom meeting).
Co-organizers:
State Organization “Institute for Economics and Forecasting of the NAS of Ukraine”
Institute for Demography and Life Quality Problems of the NAS of Ukraine
Institute of Labor and Social Affairs (Poland)
Center of Sociological Research on the Economy and the Internet, John Paul II Catholic University of Lublin (Poland)
Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv (Faculty of Economics)
National University of Kyiv-Mohyla Academy (Faculty of Economic Sciences)
State University оf Trade аnd Economics
Institute of Higher Education of the NAES of Ukraine
Institute of Evolutionary Economics
NGO “Ukrainian Association of International Economists”
Educational Foundation “Transformations” (Poland).
Objective:To highlight the
scientific legacy of the outstanding Ukrainian economist and statesman M.
Tuhan-Baranovsky and to foster the creative development of his scientific ideas
to address global challenges facing the economy, the state, science, and
society in Ukraine.
Topics for presentations and discussions:
The fundamental contribution of M.
Tuhan-Baranovsky to the development of economic science.
Historical aspects of state-building in Ukraine
and current issues of public administration.
The formation and development of the National
Academy of Sciences of Ukraine as an institution for state-building.
Modern macroeconomic transformations and crisis
prevention strategies.
Current issues in development of social research
and social policy.
Contemporary trends in the global economy in the
context of cyclical economic dynamics.
Open science as a factor of innovative
development and social progress.
The predictive potential of M.
Tuhan-Baranovsky’s scientific ideas for ensuring economic and national
security.
To
participate in the event, please submit your application (online form
available at: https://forms.gle/YvkeGsEMGTXJwAYQA) and abstracts for
publication. Application deadline: January 20, 2024.
Conference Secretary:
Senior Researcher, Department of Economic History, Institute
for
Economics
and Forecasting of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Candidate of
Economic Sciences Lesia Didkivska (phone: +38 067 963 1651).
Scientists of the Institute for Economics and Forecasting of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine presented analytical and recommendatory materials“Platform employment: content, specifics and legal regulation in the European Union and the world” at a working meeting at the Committee of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine on social policy and protection of veterans’ rights together with the Committee of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine Council of Ukraine on Economic Development on the topic “Platform employment in the European Union and the world”, which took place on December 11, 2024.
Deputy
Director of the Institute, Head of the Department of Economic Theory,
Academician of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Doctor of Economics. A.A. Grytsenko,
head of the department of socio-economics of labor, Doctor of Economics. V.V.
Blyzniuk and a leading researcher of the Department of Economic Theory, Doctor
of Economics. T.V. Burlai presented an analytical overview of the current state
of development of platform employment and the global experience of its
regulation. The materials were prepared within the framework of the scientific
project “Formation of the foundations of nationally rooted stability and
security of the economic development of Ukraine in the conditions of the
hybrid system of “peace-war” (state registration number 0123U100965).
The participants of the working meeting also discussed proposals for the legislative regulation of platform employment issues in Ukraine, developed taking into account the EU Directive 2024/2831.
The scientific and analytical materials provided by the Institute will be used in the work of the Committee with the aim of improving the legislative and legal framework for the regulation of social and labor relations, strengthening the social protection of the population and preserving the social stability of Ukrainian society in the conditions of full-scale aggression of the Russian Federation, overcoming the social and humanitarian consequences caused by it and ensuring effective post-war reconstruction of Ukraine’s economy.
Head of the Department of Innovation Policy, Economy and Organization of High Technologies of the State Organization “Institute for Economics and Forecasting of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine”, Corresponding Member of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Professor Ihor Yegorov took part in the World Scientific Forum (WSF) “The Science and Policy Interface at The Time of Global Transformation” , which took place in Budapest (Hungary) on November 20-23, 2024.
Professor Ihor Yegorov(WSF 2024)
The forum is organized every two years in different
countries of the world. This time it was held under the auspices of the United
Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO), the
International Science Council (ISC), the American Association for the
Advancement of Science (AAAS), the Interacademic Partnership (IAP), the World
Academy of Sciences (TWAS), Scientific Advisory Council of European Academies (EASAC), Global
Youth Academy (GYA). The organizer and host was the Hungarian Academy
of Sciences (MTA).
The Forum discussed specific approaches to the management of R&D, problems of implementation of artificial intelligence in scientific activities, and issues of evaluation in science. The key discussions, in which Prof. I. Yegorov took part, dealt with the measurement of the impact of science on socio-economic development, in particular with the utilization of indicators, other than GDP for this purpose.
The
next problem that attracted practical interest, was related to the choice of
procedures and indicators for evaluating the effectiveness of scientific
research. In Ukraine, the evaluation of the effectiveness of research is
carried out in accordance with the recommendations of international
organizations and on the basis of the experience of leading countries of the
world, but there are many specific problems that require constant attention and
adaptation of existing procedures to activities in conditions of war. Many
practical propositions were expressed at the Forum, some of them could be
useful in reforming of the national science system of Ukraine.
In the Declaration of the Forum was prepared
with an active participation of Professor I. Yegorov. It contains in
particular, such important position:
‘Science as a universal language is the evidence-based tool for understanding our world and its future. It should guide society, policymakers, and the economy on risks, opportunities, and choices. To remain effective, science must be open and must evolve and engage with other human endeavours, to support sustainable progress without undermining evidence-based solutions. We must uphold the right to science while recognising and addressing the limits of science and its potential to do harm when scientific knowledge is misused. We note this particularly with regard to armed conflict. We recognise the evolving role of science diplomacy in bringing together science and policy to address these challenges and promote science for peace’.
On November 12, 2024, academic readings “Scientific legacy of Iwan-Sviatoslav Koropetskyj as a key to understanding the economic history and development prospects of Ukraine” were held on the basis of the SO “Institute for Economics and Forecasting of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine” in zoom-conference mode. The event, dedicated to the outstanding representative of the Ukrainian scientific diaspora, a Foreign Member of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Professor of Temple University (Philadelphia, USA) I.-S. Koropetskyj, was organized by the Department of Economic History of the SO “Institute for Economics and Forecasting of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine” and the NGO “All-Ukrainian Association of International Economists”.
The goal of the academic readings was to actualize the scientific heritage of I.-S. Koropetskyj (1921–2012) as an economist, a historian, and a researcher of economic systems in the context of current problems of economic science and modern tasks of ensuring the stability of Ukraine’s economy.
The readings were attended by scientists and postgraduate students of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, scientists and young students of leading national universities, members of a number of scientific public organizations, representatives of research centers for the study of Ukrainian economic history at the Ivano-Frankivsk National Technical University of Oil and Gas (“Tourist League”) and Bila Tserkva National Agrarian University. The event was also attended by the Head of the Research Center at the University of Chicago (USA), Doctor of Economics, Taras Zlupko, and members of the family of I.-S. Koropetskyj – Doctor of Slavic Studies Roman Koropetskyj, Professor at the University of California in Los Angeles (USA) and Doctor of Economics Sofya Koropetska.
Within the framework of the implementation of the
interdisciplinary scientific project “Solidarity of Ukrainian society in
the conditions of war and prospects for the preservation and reproduction of
the solidarity social potential in the post-war development of the
country”, the director of the SO “Institute for Economics and
Forecasting of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine”, academician
of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine V.M. Heyets and the head of the
Department of socio-economics of labor, Doctor of Economics. V.V. Blyznyuk on
October 30, 2024, took part in a large-scale scientific and practical event
“Social dialogue as a tool for post-war solidarity and renewal of the
social contract in Ukraine”.
The round table was organized by the Association of Employers’ Organizations of
Ukraine, the National Mediation and Conciliation Service, the Federation of
Trade Unions of Ukraine, the Ukrainian Union of Industrialists and
Entrepreneurs, and the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine.
This critical issue for the development of the economy was answered by key stakeholders during the regular Discussion on the presentation of research results within the framework of the scientific platform at the Ministry of Economy, which was held on 31.10.2024.
Oleksandr Bykonya, Senior Researcher of the Department
of Sectoral Forecasts and Market Conditions, presented the results of the study
«Development of bioethanol production and effects of its growth in Ukraine»,
which caused a lively discussion among the participants of the platform. In
particular, Nataliia GORSHKOVA, Director of Strategic Planning and
Macroeconomic Forecasting Department, mentioned 2 possible ways to accelerate
the development of bioethanol generation: building new plants in a safe
location with appropriate infrastructure and energy facilities or modernizing
existing production facilities in Ukraine.
The participants determined that despite the numerous risks connected with security factors, the industry is driven by the urgent need to substitute imports of petroleum products; availability of scientific, technological and production base for the production of biological fuel components; availability of a raw material base that has significantly expanded due to the inability to fully export grain; commitments under the Energy Community and the EU-Ukraine Association Agreement, in particular the necessity to implement directives that provide for the use of energy from renewable sources including in transportation.
The second valuable report «Scenarios of the minimum ‘subsistence level’ for the
Ukrainian economy, below which the economy is forced to move to 100% wartime
economy» was presented by
Igor Burakovsky, Director of the Institute for Economic Research and Policy
Consulting.
Summarizing the results of the work of the Scientific Platform under the Ministry of Economy, a presentation on the results of scientific researches is being prepared during the publication of 10 major projects of research institutes on the economic recovery of Ukraine of the 15 planned, as well as presentations on additional topics, which will be discussed at the end of the year at the final meeting. The specific research results will be included in the development plans of the Ministry of Economy for the next 2025.
On 4 October 2024, Kyiv hosted events in a hybrid format (offline and online) that were significant for Ukraine and the Eastern Partnership countries – the presentation of the “EU4ClimateResilience” project and the national conference “PROGRESS: Promoting Readiness for the Green Deal in the Eastern Partnership Countries”, which was attended, among others, by researchers from the Institute for Economics and Forecasting of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, a co-organising institution. The Institute is a member of the consortium of organisations implementing the international project PROGRESS (Promoting Green Deal Readiness in the Eastern Partnership Countries) in Ukraine together with the German Society for International Cooperation (Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit – GIZ) and Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development – OECD). The European Business Association of Moldova and REC Caucasus (Regional Environmental Centre for the Caucasus) are also involved in the implementation of the international PROGRESS project. The PROGRESS project involves many specialists of the Institute – employees of the sectoral markets sector and the fuel and energy complex development forecasting sector of the Department of sectoral forecasts and market conditions, the Department of forms and methods of management in the agricultural and food complex, and the Department of monetary relations. The head of the group of experts from the Institute is Oleksandr Diachuk, PhD (Engin.), a leading researcher of the fuel and energy complex development forecasting sector of the Department of sectoral forecasts and market conditions.
The event brought together more than one and a half
hundred leading researchers, experts, representatives of Ukrainian and German
government agencies, business and the public to discuss important issues of
climate change adaptation and resilience to environmental challenges.
Participants gained valuable knowledge about climate change adaptation in
agriculture and agroprocessing sectors, including exports to the European
Union. Particular attention was paid to the cultivation, processing, storage
and transportation of fruit and berry products, as well as the exchange of
knowledge on best practices and solutions for implementing the European Green
Deal policies and measures in Ukraine.
The regional PROGRESS project, funded by the German Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation, Nuclear Safety and Consumer Protection (Bundesministerium für Umwelt, Naturschutz, nukleare Sicherheit und Verbraucherschutz – BMUV) within the framework of the International Climate Initiative (Internationale Klimaschutzinitiative – IKI), is focused on preparing the Eastern Partnership countries (including Ukraine) for the European Green Deal.It is aimed at adapting agriculture and other sectors of the economy to climate change and new environmental requirements.All this will contribute to the recovery and sustainable development of Ukraine.
Remi Duflot, Chargé d’affaires a.i. of the EU Delegation to Ukraine
The event was welcomed by Viktoriia Kyrieieva,
Deputy Minister of Environmental Protection and Natural Resources of Ukraine, Oleksiy
Pinchuk, Director of the Department for international cooperation and European
integration of the Ministry of Agrarian Policy and Food of Ukraine, Remi
Duflot, Chargé d’affaires
a.i. of the EU Delegation to Ukraine, Lea Bigot
of BMUV, and Martina Kolb, Programme Director of the PROGRESS
project.
During the event, the participants presented the main tasks and goals of the EU4ClimateResilience project, which is part of the PROGRESS project and supports the Eastern Partnership countries in improving their climate policies to achieve mitigation and adaptation goals and tasks in line with the Paris Agreement and related bilateral agreements with the European Union. According to the conference programme, panel discussions on adaptation and resilience to climate change took place; successful environmental practices were presented, and the European Union’s best practices for Ukrainian horticulture, as well as tools and sources of environmental financing and a roadmap were discussed.
Representatives of the PROGRESS project partners in Ukraine – OECD, GIZ and the Institute for
Economics and Forecasting of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine – made
speeches at the panel discussions. In particular, the Academy’s scientists
reported on: the current state and prospects for the production, processing and
export of fruit and berry products in Ukraine in the context of climate change;
green financing, including national policy, in the context of climate change
adaptation in horticulture and agriculture in Ukraine; ways to improve
Ukraine’s regulatory framework in view of integration into the European Union
and the joint implementation of the European Green Deal.
The Ukrainian GIZ office was represented by Dmytro Berezovskyy,
head of the PROGRESS project in Ukraine, who told about the selected
horticultural value chains, their SWOT analysis and areas of government
intervention needed to strengthen the capacity of fruit and berry growing to
withstand climate change, and Artem Sadomov, Advisor to the PROGRESS project in
Ukraine, who presented an assessment of the needs and areas of training
capacity building for industry representatives, including higher education and
research institutions.
Krzysztof Michalak, senior programme manager of the OECD, focused on the current climate and environmental policies of OECD member states and stressed the need to bring the relevant Ukrainian policies closer to EU and OECD standards. OECD policy and finance analysts Olga Olson and Isabella Neuweg presented reports on the illegal use of pesticides worldwide, agricultural insurance, and some instruments and sources of green finance in the EU and OECD.
Oleksandr Diachuk, PhD (Engin.)
Oleksandr Diachuk, PhD (Engin.), head of the PROGRESS project team from
the Institute for Economic Research and Forecasting of the National Academy of
Sciences of Ukraine, presented the analysis on the cultivation of fruits,
berries and nuts in Ukraine, the concentration of their production, processing
volumes and the structure of fruit and berry exports. The researcher
highlighted challenges for the cultivation, processing and export of fruit and
berry products, primarily due to russia’s
full-scale aggression against Ukraine.
These include the destruction of energy and production infrastructure,
logistics problems, and labour shortages. In addition, Oleksandr Diachuk
addressed the topic of gender equality within the management structures of
fruit and berry companies in Ukraine,
providing insightful recommendations for improvement in this area.
Yevhen Bublyk, Doctor of Economics
Yevhen Bublyk, Doctor of Economics, key green finance expert of the PROGRESS project in Ukraine, head of the Department of monetary relations of the Institute for Economic Research and Forecasting of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, addressed the practical roles of the state, banks, and international financial organizations in green finance in Ukraine. He also outlined the main challenges in the capital market, including the lack of accredited external verifiers of green bonds in Ukraine.
Olena Shubravska, Doctor of Economics, professor, key policy expert of the PROGRESS project in Ukraine, head of the Department of forms and methods of management in the agri-food complex of the Institute of Economics and Forecasting of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, compared the legal frameworks of Ukraine and the European Union in the context of the European Green Deal. In her report, the researcher noted EU-normed rules regarding the decarbonization of agriculture and adaptation to climate change and outlined the existing laws, programs, and strategies in Ukraine, as well as those that still need to be developed or implemented.
Olena Shubravska, Doctor of Economics, professor and Yuliia Shapoval, PhD in Economics
Yuliia Shapoval, PhD in Economics, senior green finance expert of the
PROGRESS project in Ukraine,
senior researcher of the Department of monetary relations of the Institute of Economics
and Forecasting of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, overviewed the state policy of green
finance in Ukraine.
She highlighted the actions taken by the National Securities and Stock Market
Commission and the National Bank of Ukraine to develop green financial
instruments and pointed out the European experience in establishing green
finance infrastructure, particularly the role of green taxonomy (a list of
activities that contribute to sustainable development).
The panel discussions were also joined by representatives of local governments (in particular, Roman Sushchenko, first deputy head of the Cherkasy regional council and Volodymyr Kohut, deputy head of the Poltava regional military administration), educational institutions and research institutions (in particular, Serhii Kvasha, academician of the National Academy of Agrarian Sciences of Ukraine (NAAS), vice-rector for scientific and pedagogical work of the National University of Life and Environmental Sciences of Ukraine and Hanna Tkalenko, Doctor of Agricultural Sciences, deputy director of the Institute of Plant Protection of NAAS), financial organisations (in particular, Kristina Mikulova, head of Regional Hub for Eastern Europe at European Investment Bank), Ukrainian financial institutions, specialised associations, advisory services, consulting companies, various non-governmental organisations in the field of climate change mitigation and adaptation, etc.
On August 21, 2024, the 5th meeting of the discussion scientific platform under the Ministry of Economy of Ukraine was held, which was joined by more than 60 participants from specialized organizations and scientific institutions involved in the development and implementation of effective management solutions to key challenges of today – Institute for economics and forecasting of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Institute for Demography and Quality of Life Problems of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Institute of industrial economics of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine.
Report by I. Lunina
The research “Lack of budgetary resources and reserves for increasing revenues of the State Budget of Ukraine” was presented by Inna Lunina, Head of the Department of Public Finance of the Institute for Economics and Forecasting of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Doctor of Economics, Professor, Corresponding Member of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine. The study found that the priority areas for increasing tax revenues are measures to broaden the tax base and reduce budget revenue losses, primarily from value added tax. Based on the experience of EU countries, the study identified ways to detect abuses and tax evasion in advance and, accordingly, to significantly reduce budget revenue losses through digital transformation of tax administrations, introduction of real-time reporting and new requirements for electronic invoices, and mass cross-checking of VAT invoices.
The active using of new VAT administration tools in post-socialist EU countries has reduced the VAT tax gap (the difference between potential and actual revenues) on average in these countries from 26.6% of potential tax revenues in 2012 to 9% in 2021, while in Ukraine it exceeds 40%. Scenario assessments have shown that even if VAT evasion is partially eliminated, tax revenues to the State Budget of Ukraine in 2022 could be increased by at least UAH 86-180 billion, or 9-19%.
The meeting also featured speeches by Corresponding Member of
the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine Volodymyr Sarioglo and Lyudmyla
Cherenko from the Institute of Demography and Quality of Life Problems of the
National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine on the topic “Non-increase of utility
tariffs under martial law: Pros and cons”; Dmytro LAZARENKO from the Institute
of Industrial Economics of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine on
‘Establishment of joint ventures with foreign partners for the utilization and
processing of construction waste (PPP)’; Bohdan LOGVYNENKO from the Institute
of Industrial Economics of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine on
‘Strategic prospects for the development of lithium’.
The participants’ presentations sparked a lively discussion among the expert community on the possibilities of rapid response to critical threats caused by internal and external challenges. Today’s event contributed to the formation of a common position, effective coordination with government agencies and the development of specific practical solutions for the future economic development of Ukraine.
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