Update date 11.12.2024
ABOUT THE DEPARTMENT
The department of economic development modeling and forecasting (in 1997–2010 – the department of economic development modeling), which had previously been part of the Institute of economics of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine under the leadership of Academician of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine Valeriy Heyets, has been a research unit at the SO "Institute for economics and forecasting of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine" since the latter’s creation in 1997.
Currently, the department is headed by the chief researcher acting as head of the department, corresponding member of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, honored economist of Ukraine, doctor of economic sciences, professor Maria Skrypnychenko.
MAIN DIRECTIONS OF THE DEPARTMENT’S RESEARCH ACTIVITIES
- aggregate demand and aggregate supply
- fiscal-monetary interaction and growth policy
- macroeconomic balance and identification of imbalances
- structural transformation of the economy
- the production function of social interaction
OUR EMPLOYEES
- Mariia Ahafonova – leading economist
- Oleksandr Bilotserkivets – research officer
- Iryna Karpova – chief economist
- Nataliia Koshmanova – chief economist
- Lidiia Kuznietsova – Ph. D. (Econom), senior researcher
- Tetiana Lebeda – Ph. D. (Econom), leading researcher
- Volodymyr Pavlyk – Ph. D. (Technical), senior researcher
- Mariia Pronina – leading economist
- Viktoriia Radzivill – Ph. D. (Econom), research officer
- Svitlana Shumska – Dr. Sci (Econom), leading researcher
- Serhii Shvets – Ph. D. (Econom), senior researcher
- Volodymyr Sidenko – corresponding member of NAS of Ukraine, chief researcher
- Dina Tverdokhlibova – Ph. D. (Econom), senior researcher
- Hanna Yatsenko – Ph. D. (Econom), senior researcher
SCIENTIFIC LIFE
International conferences, scientific and practical seminars
- Shumska, S. (2024). The XXIII International Scientific and Practical Conference "The current state of the organization of scientific activity in the world"
- Pavlik, V. (2024). The 15th International Scientific and Practical Conference "Scientific Horizon in the Context of Social Crises"
- Heyets, V. (2024). Monitoring Scientific-Technological, and Innovative Development of Ukraine
- Shvets, S. (2023). Presentation to an open research seminar "Fiscal-Monetary Interaction in Mitigating the Threat of Fiscal Dominance to Post-War Recovery in Ukraine"
- Heyets, V., et al. (2021). Models and strategies for financing innovative energy saving activities
- Heyets, V., et al. (2019). Modeling state regulation of the labour market
PUBLİCATİONS
Over 460 publications during 2016–2024
Monographs, monograph sectıons
- Assessment and forecasts of the endogenous growth of Ukraine’s economy, 2023 [in Ukrainian]
- Development trajectories of Ukraine's post-war economy in the coordinate system of the post-pandemic world, 2023 [in Ukrainian]
- Financial depth-economic growth nexus in Ukraine, 2022 [in Ukrainian]
- Macro-prospects of the endogenization of Ukraine’s economic development, 2021 [in Ukrainian]
- Institutional and organizational foundations of the foresight study "Economy of Ukraine - 2050", 2021 [in Ukrainian]
- Heyets, V., (2020). The phenomenon of instability – a challenge to economic development [in Ukrainian]
- Macroeconomic balance to ensure the stability of public finances and economic growth in Ukraine, 2020 [in Ukrainian]
- Korablin, S. (2018) Commodity economies and international assistance: Lessons drawn from Ukraine's experience
- Factors and trends of economic growth in Ukraine, 2018 [in Ukrainian]
- Keyzer, Michel A., Merbis, Max D., Halsema, Alex N., Heyets, Valeriy, Borodina, Olena M., Prokopa, Igor V. Unlocking (2017). Ukraine's production potential
- Korablin, S. (2017). Ukraine’s macroeconomic dynamics: the trap of commodity markets [in Ukrainian]
- Lebeda, T. (2014). Macroeconomic modeling of GDP redistribution through the budget [in Ukrainian]
- Skrypnychenko, M. (2004) Sectoral and international models of economic development [in Ukrainian]
Research papers, research papers sectıons
- Restoration and reconstruction of Ukraine’s post-war economy, 2022 (Pp. 40–53, 244–254) [in Ukrainian]
- Development of transport for the purpose of recovery and growth of the Ukrainian economy, 2018 (Pp.15–20) [in Ukrainian]
- Ukraine’s economic policy: determining the future, 2017 [in Ukrainian]
- Implementation of the Association Agreement between Ukraine and the EU: economic challenges and new opportunities, 2016 (Pp. 10–22, 40–44, 49–51) [in Ukrainian]
Articles (Scopus)
- Investment Management and Financial Innovations
- Ekonomista
- Heyets, V. (2021). Endogenous Social Progress as a Source of Economic Growth.
- Science and Innovation
- Skrypnychenko, M., Nykyforuk, O., Bilousova, O., Stasiuk, O., Fediai, N., Bilotserkivets’, O., Kuznetsova, L. (2024). Investment Attractiveness and Multiplier Effects for the National Economy from the Development of the Titanium Industry
- Heyets, V. M. (2023). Restructuring the socialization of Ukraine’s population under instability and post-stabilization period
- Heyets, В., Podolets, Р., Diachuk, О. (2022). Post-war economic recovery of Ukraine in the imperatives of low-carbon development. Science and Innovation
- Heyets, V., Lunina, I. Stepanova, O. (2021). The formation of fiscal space while overcoming vaccine nationalism and ensuring sustainability of development
- Heyets, V. et al. (2020). Energy Strategy: Projections (Review)
- Banks and Bank Systems
- International Journal of Social Quality
- Heyets, V., Blyzniuk, V., Nykyforuk, O. (2022). The Recovery of Ukraine: Social Quality in the Postwar Societal Space.
- Ekonomika
Articles (Web of Scıence)
- Acta Oeconomika
- Heyets, V., Grytsenko, A. (2019). Tertium Datur by W. Kolodko
- Baltic Journal of Economic Studies
- Shumska, S., Gaidai, A., Blyzniuk, V. (2023) Welfare оf Ukraine’s Population: Assessments оf The Level аnd Impact оf Key Factors
- National Accounting Review
- Shvets, S. (2023). Dominance score in the fiscal-monetary interaction
- Journal of Social and Economic Development
- Heyets, V. (2021). Endogenization of social progress as a source of economic growth
- Science and Innovation
- Skrypnychenko, M., Nykyforuk, O., Bilousova, O., Stasiuk, O., Fediai, N., Bilotserkivets’, O., Kuznetsova, L. (2024). Investment Attractiveness and Multiplier Effects for the National Economy from the Development of the Titanium Industry
- Heyets, V. M. (2023). Restructuring the socialization of Ukraine’s population under instability and post-stabilization period
- Heyets, В., Podolets, Р., Diachuk, О. (2022). Post-war economic recovery of Ukraine in the imperatives of low-carbon development. Science and Innovation
- Heyets, V., Lunina, I. Stepanova, O. (2021). The formation of fiscal space while overcoming vaccine nationalism and ensuring sustainability of development
- Heyets, V. et al. (2020). Energy Strategy: Projections (Review)
- Financial and Credit Activity-Problems of Theory and Practice
- Shvets, S. (2021) How far fiscal dominance matters for a developing economy
Articles
- Sidenko, V. (2024). Challenges And Opportunities For Resilient Economic Development Of Ukraine In The Context Of Global Transition [in Ukrainian]
- Heyets, V. (2024). Features Of The Social Quality Of Life In Ukraine During Wartime And The Task Of Its Post-War Improvement [in Ukrainian]
- Heyets V., Skrypnychenko M., Shumska S. (2020) Macroeconomic Imbalances in Ukraine: A Monitoring Based on the MIP SCOREBOARD and Model Based Estimates of Their Impact on Growth and Stability [in Ukrainian]
Medıa publıcatıons
Participation in 18 radio and television programs, in particular
- Heyets V. Post-war recovery of Ukraine’s economy. Program "About science. Competently" 11.6.2023
- Korablin S. The market cannot cope with this pandemic by itself. Interview. May 19, 2020
COOPERATION
Cooperatıon wıth state authorıtıes (within the Institute's agreements)
- Ministry of Economy of Ukraine
- Ministry of Finance of Ukraine
- National Bank of Ukraine
- National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine
- Accounting Chamber of Ukraine
- Kyiv City State Administration
Project and expert activities
- Project Link (Heyets, V., Skrypnychenko, M.)
- Surveys of Economic Forecasts,(2024), Eastern Europe Consensus Forecasts. London, United Kingdom
- Consensus Economics (Heyets, V., Skrypnychenko, M.)
Editorial cooperation
- Heyets, V. - editor-in-chief "Economy of Ukraine", member of the international advisory committee "The International journal of social quality", member of the editorial board "Economic theory"
- Korablin S., Skrypnychenko M., Sidenko V., Shumska S.- members of the editorial board "Economy of Ukraine"
Analytical notes
The scientific results of the staff are included in more than 200 scientific and analytical notes, which are sent to the legislative and executive branches of government (included in the Institute's scientific reports for the corresponding years), in particular:
- Scenario forecasting: different volumes of international assistance (receiving / not receiving), the first and second stages
- Structural factors in the formation of the GDP reproduction model: Ukraine compared to OECD countries and China
- On the need to focus research infrastructures in Ukraine on technological innovations for the modernization of Ukrainian industry and the economy as a whole, as well as on creating prerequisites for innovative entrepreneurship
- Assessment of Ukraine's losses from the military invasion of the Russian Federation
- To the Recovery and Development Plan of Ukraine
- Scenario forecasts of the socio-economic development of the city of Kyiv for the period 2022–2024 based on the macroeconomic situation in Ukraine
- Integral composite indicators of the development of the economy of Ukraine in the short term (April 2023)
COPYRIGHT CERTIFICATES (PATENTS)
- Report on the research project "Assessment and forecasts of endogenous growth of Ukraine’s economy" (2021–2022)
- Factors and trends of economic growth in Ukraine (2015-2017)
- Report on scientific and research work "Development and implementation of regulations for the functioning of an integrated information and analytical system for supporting the budget process in Ukraine and system tuning of the software and analytical tools "Macroforecast of the Economy of Ukraine" and regional models (Kyiv, Chernihiv, Kirovohrad, Khmelnytskyi, Sumy, Odesa regions, Kyiv city)" (2012)
- Report on the research project "Information and analytical system for supporting the budget process at the regional level (Kirovohrad, Khmelnytskyi, Chernihiv oblasts’) and the program and analytical toolkit "Macro forecast of Ukraine’s economy"" (2011)
- Report on the research project "Information and analytical system for supporting the budget process at the regional level (the city of Kyiv and the Kyiv oblast) and the program and analytical toolkit to forecast the main macroeconomic indicators of Ukraine’s economy" (2010)
- Report on the research project "Program and analytical toolkit for forecasting macroeconomic indicators in support of the budget process in Ukraine" (2009)
- Report on the research project “Potential for endogenous growth of Ukraine’s economy" (2006–2008)
AWARDS
- Consensus Economics (2022)
- M. Skrypnychenko, V.Sidenko, I. Zapatrina (2017) Institutional transformation of Ukraine’s financial and economic system under globalization
CONTACTS
- 26, Panasa Myrnoho str., Kyiv, 01011
- +38(044) 280-04-17
- skrypnichenko@gmail.com
